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ISSN : 2456-8643

Title:
DOES CLIMATE VARIABILITY MATTER FOR FOOD SECURITY IN INDONESIA?

Authors:
Dewi Nur Asih , Indonesia

Abstract:
This study investigates the determinants of household food security in Indonesia, with particular emphasis on climate variability. The panel data at the household level combined with rainfall and temperature data from 2001 to 2006 for a sample of households living in Central Sulawesi at the rainforest margin, Indonesia. The principal component analysis applied to develop an indicator of food security and a panel econometric model to study its determinants. The findings suggest that rainfall, temperature, area cultivated, access to credit and household human capital measured by age, maximum education and household size are the main drivers and thus determinants of household food security over time. Climate variation in rainfall and temperature, as well as household size, negatively affects food security. In particular, the variability in rainfall leads to declines of 33% and 15% in the availability and stability of food in the household, respectively. While increasing the area cultivated, access to credit, the household's age and the family's education level are the main factors promoting food security over time.

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